Boston Qualify in 2015?
After spending much of the year with my sights on Ironman Arizona in November, I'm ready to give up long course triathlon for a season. I turn 40 in January, so I will be at the bottom of a new age group. I don't have the genes or the inclination to shoot for Kona, but a might have enough in me to get to Boston.
My current vDot is a 47 which predicts my open marathon at about 3:21. The minimum qualifying time for me is 3:15, but I think I'll need at least a 3:12 to get a solid lock. So I would need to bump my vDot up by about 3 points in the coming season to do this. I'm willing to stay off my bike and stay out of the pool and pound the treadmill to get this done. My question is, am I being realistic? I'd hate to lose my swim and bike fitness to chase a fruitless goal. Conversely, If I just transition into an outseason plan in January, will that help to build my run fitness and at least keep my bike fitness solid so that I can hit some sprints and Olympics after a spring marathon or two?
All thought welcome and appreciated. Thanks!
Comments
Long story: Is your 47 vDot based on 5k or 13.1 or longer speed? If you're like me and are faster short course than long (my 5k vDot is 51, but I'm more of a 48-49 vDot at the marathon). How long have you been running and how many miles/week on average? What would 45-55+ miles/week do to you? Propensity to get injured? Are you carrying extra weight that can be shed?
Are you OK with focusing on the run for a year, even if the end result is you become a much better runner, but don't get to Boston? I only ask because I know runners who have tried to BQ for a decade and have come up short. I've done 15 mary's, qualified 2x, the last time by 18 seconds. The folks in Boston set those qualifying times right at the point where it weeds out the vast, vast majority of us, many of us by just a few seconds/minutes.
What's your time frame - June-August marathon? You need to find a good race. If it's 90 degrees, you're hosed. Grandma's in Duluth may work - it's fast, slightly rolling/flat, cool and not too crowded (I think I missed BQ there by 11 seconds - that one hurt).
I'm all for putting all eggs in one basket. You can re-gain cycling and swimming strength in a few months. Boston is a special event, worth all the hype. If you're confident you can do it and are willing to put in the effort, I vote go for it. We only get so much time on this spinning orb - might as well swing big and do cool sheet.
I'm no where in your zip code but I can second what Matt say's about bike fitness. I seem to take too much time off each year and getting the bike fitness back, and even a little more happens. Don't get me wrong it still takes hard work in the OS. Given you are still working the engine it should be easier that I make it. I'm 42 so in the same age group.