Using Power to pace an Ironman
I started gathering data with a Stryd for this year's build to Ironman Texas and Ironman Boulder. I'd like to use that data to help me pace them. I expect a power based place to help me a lot in Boulder due to the elevation.
Based on a 5k test, my relevant zones are
Z1 8:49
TRP 8:10
Z2 7:32
From RPE I've found that my TRP is really somewhere around 8:20-30ish. I live in a pancake flat area and have no hills to train on. My only extra resistance comes from really windy days. At some point I started using power numbers to pace my workouts. I've hovered around 275-285 as my targets. I didn't do an analysis, I just found that to be a comfortable number that gave me the TRP effort. On my last 18 mile run I averaged 263 for the first 6 miles and 274 for the last 12 miles.
Now it's time to get specific and race plan. I've gathered average power data and compiled the chart below. Interestingly it very linear.
Using the chart below and adding 10s to my 5k based zones (based on my perceived effort) then then the EN specific race guidance for pace athletes translated to power would be
Miles 0-6: Z1 + 30s = 9:29 --> ~250-260
Miles 6-18: z1 = 8:59 --> ~265-270
Thoughts?
Based on a 5k test, my relevant zones are
Z1 8:49
TRP 8:10
Z2 7:32
From RPE I've found that my TRP is really somewhere around 8:20-30ish. I live in a pancake flat area and have no hills to train on. My only extra resistance comes from really windy days. At some point I started using power numbers to pace my workouts. I've hovered around 275-285 as my targets. I didn't do an analysis, I just found that to be a comfortable number that gave me the TRP effort. On my last 18 mile run I averaged 263 for the first 6 miles and 274 for the last 12 miles.
Now it's time to get specific and race plan. I've gathered average power data and compiled the chart below. Interestingly it very linear.
Using the chart below and adding 10s to my 5k based zones (based on my perceived effort) then then the EN specific race guidance for pace athletes translated to power would be
Miles 0-6: Z1 + 30s = 9:29 --> ~250-260
Miles 6-18: z1 = 8:59 --> ~265-270
Thoughts?
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Comments
If run HR is equal to or less than bike HR, it should validate your assumptions....
Remember first of all that the number we see from Stryd is not watts in the same sense as we get from bike power meters, which are actually measuring force application. Stryd is using data from accelerometers oriented in the three planes of motion, and using their proprietary algorithms to give us a calculated number.
I think Rob and Shaughn are pointing you in the right direction. First of all, if you want to follow a metric for IM run, use HR first and foremost, before pace and power. Second, Stryd #'s may be helpful to rein you in and/or help you pick it up briefly when on a hill. But both Texas and Boulder present unique challenges - heat/humidity and altitude - which you may not be able to replicate well in training. HR will overcome this problem.
Keep in mind that, unless you want to do an actual Ironman 2-3 weeks before your race, you will never be able to duplicate in training what your body will be facing in the last 8-10 miles on race day.
SS is right on when he suggests trying to run the IM marathon at whatever pace results when you keep your HR at the average of the last 90 minutes or so of your (well-paced) bike leg. HR smooths out all the confounding factors such as exhaustion from the first two legs, temperature, humidity, elevation changes, altitude, etc. HR should be understood as giving you a hard ceiling, throttling you back from whatever pace you *think* you should be going, to the *actual* pace - which will undoubtedly be lower then you'd like - your body can handle over 26.2 miles after the bike and swim, given the conditions of the day and the course.
EN athletes have extensive experience with using HR on race day, but we have yet to fully understand how to use "power" in an IM run. If you want to be one of the beta testers, go for it, but understand the risks any guinea pigs have.