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Kona Qualifying Stats

This has been asked before, but, I started looking for it in the Forum history via Search and continually am getting errors and can't perform a functional search...so, I will just ask again:

What kind of vDot and FTP/w/Kg should I be aiming for in order to legitimately be thinking about qualifying for Kona?

I was kind of thinking (with my uneducated guess) that a 58-59 vDot and 3.5+ w/kg would about put me in contention for a slot without a trememdous amount of roll down...am I thinking about right?

Comments

  • I would say more like a 56+ vdot and 4.0+ w/kg.

  • I would suspect that one's age group/gender would/could be factors in this calculation.

  • Great point Paul...I am 30-34...
  • I would say the numbers I suggest apply through 45-49 and maybe even 50-54. The younger you are the higher you want them. Let me put it this way, you are in Mancona's age group. He's around 60 vdot and 5.0 w/kg.

  • How about for the females? 35-39
  • Posted By Beverly Richardson on 05 Nov 2010 08:38 PM

    How about for the females? 35-39

    Not sure. Some of the Chicas may have an idea.

  • Stephen and Beverly - Take a look at the info in the following thread. Note that the vdot for the top runners gets noted later in the thread. Age has a big impact. Also the course you select to try to qualify on is a major impact. I hope this is some help. Note this is on 2009 qualifying data.



    http://endurancenation.us.dnnmax.com/Community/Forums/tabid/101/aff/60/aft/849/afv/topic/Default.aspx



    Matt

     

  • Wow - excellent thread. Thanks Matt!
  • Posted By Matt Samojeden on 05 Nov 2010 09:23 PM

    Stephen and Beverly - Take a look at the info in the following thread. Note that the vdot for the top runners gets noted later in the thread. Age has a big impact. Also the course you select to try to qualify on is a major impact. I hope this is some help. Note this is on 2009 qualifying data.



    http://endurancenation.us.dnnmax.com/Community/Forums/tabid/101/aff/60/aft/849/afv/topic/Default.aspx



    Matt

     

    Matt I read your linked thread and it has some great info.  It would be nice to have w/kg data for the bike because as it stands, in my age group for example, 4w/kg would mean the rider would have to weigh around 150 lbs.  Is 4 the standard KQ estimate for men?  

  • Here's some more good discussion on the topic.

    endurancenation.us.dnnmax.com/Commu...aspx#27456

    Cracking the Kona Code: A Classic!

    www.endurancenation.us/en_forums/showthread.php

  • Posted By Beverly Richardson on 05 Nov 2010 08:38 PM

    How about for the females? 35-39

     

    pretty sure the winning female in that group is down in the low 10 hour range at LP. image when Smaryka won two years ago she went 10:15 I believe.

  • One thing to remember all... Just because you can throw out big numbers like 58 to 60 vdot and 4.0w/kg to 5.0w/kg does not mean you are a given to qualify. You still have to have the race of your life, excecute perfectly, and have a little luck and then MAYBE you will be in the hunt.

    FWIW.. I've had around 4.3w/kg to 4.5w/kg and 56 to 58 vdot going into IMLou and IMLP and and still came up 15 to 30 minutes short. But in my opinion didn't have that perfect race and other issues on the run caused some slow down. The point is just keep working to get then numbers as high as possible and since you are here in EN try and follow the execution skills as best as possible and You MIGHT have a chance.
  • Posted By Chris Martin on 06 Nov 2010 05:35 AM

    Matt I read your linked thread and it has some great info.  It would be nice to have w/kg data for the bike because as it stands, in my age group for example, 4w/kg would mean the rider would have to weigh around 150 lbs.  Is 4 the standard KQ estimate for men?  



    Chris -- agree it would be nice to have better w/kg data. See the threads noted by Matt Sulivan.  Not sure what age group you are in but as we get older, hitting that 4.0 number becomes less lilely.  This 4.0 level is by no way a standard for KQ.  As Trent notes there are many factors with exicution being typicaly a more important factor than raw FTP and vDOT levels.  Aslo a key factor is how areo you are on the bike. 

  • Thanks for everyone's responses and comments...my goal was really to be able to set a goal that would put me in a position to ligitimately lay out a race plan that would give me a shot at a slot.  I fully understand that the stars have to align correctly on race day in order to put together the right race.  I have adjusted my signature on my Forum profile to reflect what I think might give me a shot...I MAY need a little more like 3.8 w/Kg on the bike, but, I think the combination will put me in the hunt if I execute and the stars align.

    Thanks!

  • Stephen, the other key factor in that goal is body fat %. Don't know yours, but you seldom see folks KQ'ing at over about 8% (SWAG). So, there may or may not be some room in there to bump up the W/kg on the kg side, too. There aren't many folks who can achieve a vdot high enough with excess body fat, but wanted to point that out.
  • Yeah, on the body fat thing, I don't know what my % is, but, I think it is somewhat low. I am 5'10" and weigh 153 lbs and my father-in-law says I look like I have worms...not sure that's a compliment!

    I will get it checked at some point, it would be good to know..m/ood thought, thanks!
  •  While we have w/kg for cycling to take weight into account, there doesn't seem to be an equivalent for Vdot.  I get the same number whether I use the EN calculator which asks your weight, or this one which doesn't.

    http://www.runbayou.com/jackd.htm

  • Yes, that's right. Getting lighter makes running easier, which means you go faster, and earn a higher Vdot. Two riders with a FTP of 250 can have wildly different projected bike splits based on weight. Two runners with a Vdot of 52 should be expected to run similar times, even if their weight is dissimilar.
  • I read somewhere a long time ago that one could save two seconds for every pound lost. Realizing this is merely a rule of thumb, it seems to work fairly well for me.

    @Mike wrote, "Two runners with a Vdot of 52 should be expected to run similar times, even if their weight is dissimilar." I think that could be true but do believe the type of training (primary flats vs. hills) vs. race course bumpiness and temps in training vs. race day temps could cause those runners with the same Vdot to achieve substantially different finishing times.
  • Posted By Mike Graffeo on 07 Nov 2010 01:56 PM

    Yes, that's right. Getting lighter makes running easier, which means you go faster, and earn a higher Vdot. Two riders with a FTP of 250 can have wildly different projected bike splits based on weight. Two runners with a Vdot of 52 should be expected to run similar times, even if their weight is dissimilar.



    Huh?  You're saying weight has no bearing on run speed?  

  •  No, he said being lighter makes running easier which equals a higher vdot.  If 2 people have the same vdot, they will have basically the same pace for most races no matter the size.  vdot cannot be equated with FTP in terms of comparing athletes.

  • Yes. A 170 pound dude and a 135 pound dude with the same Vdot should run similar paces. See Coach P and Trent, who have similar Vdots, and run similarly fast, but weigh quite different.

    It's not as counterintuitive as it sounds. Frankly, w/kg is slightly overrated, too, since we dot do that much climbing in triathlon. Take a 75 kg rider at 4 w/kg (300w FTP) and a 65kg rider at 4 w/kg (260w FTP). On most all courses, the heavier rider is faster, because they can push more watts, and aren't overcoming gravity on flats.

    We use w/kg not because it is what matters, but because it's a pretty good indicator of the range you need to hit to reach the goals you have set out.
  • So what you're saying is that Vdot automatically takes one's weight into account?

  • Technically whqt I'm saying is that Vdot is independent of weight. At any given weight, if you lose 10 pounds, your Vdot is likely to go up. But Vdot is just Vdot, there's no 'Vdot/kg' equivalent thought process.
  •  OK, got it.  

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