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Pacing a 15k Bike TT...

So last year I rode in the annual Team Psycho TT and somehow (computrainer error?) ended up only second to Olympic hopefully Ethan Brown, putting up an average of 362 watts across the test. My PM said it was more like 345, but I am not arguing.

Of course, there are a few folks who think it was a fluke, and are taking me on this year.  image  Bring it!

So I have figured my FTP to be about 335, and I just did 2 x 20 as 335, 340.  I am planning on doing a test 20' this weekend, and I am curious to hear what you smartypants folks think I can sustain. 

If I can do 340 in a second 20' effort (it wasn't easy), can I sit on 350 for one? 360?

Anyone have a calculator for this? Thanks!!!

Comments

  • Sit on 360 and hang on for dear life. It's all in your head anyway. Put the pain away and feel the POWER!!!!
  • Trent's right. 95% of 360 is 342. Tough but doable.
  •  Coach: Start @ 340 for a minute, get to 360 by the third minute, and aim to finish at 370+. Your NP for this should be 365 IMO FWIW.

  • Seems like you've gotten some good advice coach. 360-365 and embrace the pain!

  • Just splitting hairs I know but the "95% of 360" is using the rule-of-thumb that assumes you did an all-out 5 minute test before the 20 min test.
    So I would assume that Coach P should be able to achive Al's estimate of 365 (at least).
    In any case Coach, enjoy image
  • +1 what trent said.

    Yesterday I read and listen through this thread,  i remembered line of "The Matrix" .. "Do you really think this is air your breathing?"... That line helped me a lot today on getting through my workout.

    Pacing .... most records were achieved by negative splitting 49/51

     

  • Oh, bloody hell...400w. Book it, done. :-)

    The bigger question is, are you optimally fit on the bike right now for a 15km TT, or are you setup for a 112 mile ride?
    At those types of wattages (and thus speeds), I would guess you could cut 15-20 watts and finish faster if you tweaked your position for a short-course TT, unless you've already done so.

    Should we assume a skin suit, shoe covers, no bottle cages, etc. are in play here?

    Crush some souls, Coach!

    J
  • Folks this is awesome....my Friday test is going to suck (but hopefully be good). I really appreciate your input...now if you could only turn the pedals for me... image
  • But Coach, where would the fun be in that?
  • Results are in 362 for the 20'. Started smart like Al suggested, then ended up sitting on 360-61 normalized most of the test. Dipped a bit at the end and rallied in the last minute to get it back to 362. Amazing how much that hurt at 8 minutes done, somehow lived through the 12' mark...counted every minute as a "rep" through 18' and then just gave it my best. Haven't hurt that much in a long time, but totally worth it. New lifetime FTP (344) and w/kg (4.1) numbers for me...totally pumped. More coming in a general discussion thread shortly...
  • Nice work coach. Way to lead by example.
  • Posted By Patrick McCrann on 27 Jan 2012 12:33 PM

    ...New lifetime FTP (344) and w/kg (4.1) numbers for me...totally pumped....

    Awesome, Coach!!

  • thanks for your support!!
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