The Lance Factor
Whatever you may think of Lance and his ambiguous doping history, congrats to him on his second 70.3 win at IM 70.3 Hawaii.
It's not easy winning two 70.3s at the ripe-old age of (almost) 41. He's been gradually improving his lackluster run, culminating in two solid races at Florida 70.3 and Hawaii 70.3. Both resulting in an overall win.
Next up for Lance at the full distance is the familiar climbs of IM France, then Kona. At this rate, a top 5 at Kona is not completely out of the question, according to most top pros (and me, if he can extrapolate his nutrition plan from 13.1 to 26.2).
Now I'm not saying Lance is going to be a factor against Crowie or Raelert or Macca (if he gets back in Ironman shape), but then Lance doesn't enter a race he doesn't want to win it right out. Only now he's got experience racing in the heat and humidity and winds of Hawaii.
But then again racing a 70.3 is not racing an Ironman. Just ask Andy Potts.
Should be a good Ironman Hawaii this year
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Let's talk after we see his marathon time in France. He'l need to be under 2:55 at that race to have a shot at the top 3 in HI. But no matter what, there's no question he's showing how truly great an endurance athlete he is. And, he's generating an amazing buzz. Every Saturday at my group tri ride, he's a part of the conversation.
Can anyone who was at either Florida or Hawaii comment on the changed "vibe" of the race, with Lance present?
Media coverage, # of fans and spectators on the course, stuff like that?
This is just fan to watch. Ironman is such a game of patience and pacing. Does he have that? You can't really use ornery to get you through the entire day.
And he is just hard-nosed enough to succeed.
For the past 25 years, he's been motivated by "I know I can beat those guys..." First it was Mark Allen et al; then the pro peloton at the World Champs and classics ... then, in 2009, it was Carlos Sastre. Now, it's all the weenie triathletes again.
And, for the past 15 years, he's got another motivation: Helping people live with cancer. No matter what I think about his ego and his PED history, he is deeply serious about that, that's where his money and his time goes.
Put together his innate physical talents, his swimming background, his scary competitive nature, and his desire to be an inspiration to millions with cancer ... it may well be an unbeatable combination. But I still want to see him run 26.2 after riding in the hills above Nice before I sign up for him being a podium threat in Hawaii. As we all know, it's a different world after mile 18.