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Any relationship between watts/kg and IM bike split?

 I know that watts alone can't tell you much about your IM bike split, but what about watts/kg?  I would truly love to get in the neighbourhood of a 6 hour bike at IM Canada this summer.  Any of you who have done this race, do you know roughly what your watts/kg was for your given bike split?  It would be nice to have some kind of target to work towards.

 

Thanks for any input!

 

---Ann.

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Comments

  • I'm not aware of any published or data-driven correlations between the two, but W/kg is a good predictor of performance at many standard distances.  It may be out there but I've just never come across it.  The IM is tricky because it's a bit longer than most one-day non-stage races, and there are additional endurance considerations and race execution factors that come into play.  Keep in mind that W/kg is typically defined by your mass-specific FTP (i.e. your 1-hour TT power).  Other important considerations that parallel W/kg are bike position and gear selection (helmet, tires, bike setup).  Any resistance (such as aerodynamic drag or rolling resistance) will effectively diminish the value of your W/kg.

  • I would think that course selection would make a difference. Watts per kilogram would be much more important at IM St. George than IM Florida. You can be big and strong on the bike in Florida, but it would probably come back to haunt you in the run. Also, bike performance should be less important than overall performance. There are a lot of people with a really high w/kg that race poorly.

    Conceptually though it makes sense that it's better to have a higher w/kg and vDot than your competitors.
  • Posted By Ann Frost on 18 Feb 2011 06:30 AM

     I know that watts alone can't tell you much about your IM bike split, but what about watts/kg?  I would truly love to get in the neighbourhood of a 6 hour bike at IM Canada this summer.  Any of you who have done this race, do you know roughly what your watts/kg was for your given bike split?  It would be nice to have some kind of target to work towards.

     

    Thanks for any input!

     

    ---Ann.



    I was 5:24 at 4.0w/kg. 

     

  • Also, http://www.analyticcycling.com -> Static Forces on Rider -> Speed, Given Power

  • Thanks, all. This is helpful. I do agree that the course matters and that how you use your watts is an important piece of the puzzle. Dave, the 4.0 w/kg to go 5:24 is a good piece of data. I don't need that kind of bike split as a 445-49 lady! But to get closer to 6 hours would make my bike (my weakest sport) at least comparable to my swim and run. I do run well off the bike (well, well enough anyway) so I am not pacing badly I don't think. I'm just darn slow on the bike. This is my first OS here and I am doing a whole lot more work than I have ever done before in the winter. I am just hopeful that it is going to pay off come August this year!

    ---Ann.
  •  Watts per kilo is very important as the road tilts up. The actual watts though propel you down the road. A lil peep at 4.0w/kg will not out split 180lb doode with 4.0 watts per kilo as well. He is just putting out a lot more power. Average power would be a better predictor (but not much). Average power + weight of rider even better. 

    You can use analytic cycling to run some 'what ifs' but watts per coefficient of drag is critical for time trialing which is why we but some emphasis on 1. Getting a strong as you can. 2. Get as lean as you can. 3. Extract as much speed our your equipment/position.

     

     

  • Ann , I see while I Ws writing this Dave posted his data – so here is my 2 cents.

     

    Disclaimer : As many have said comparing watts or w/kg and determining a time on a course has a of variables that prevent an accurate comparison between people. Riding position – aero factors being a major impact. So with that said how do we get you an estimate?

     

    Doing a quick search on Canada Race reports in the forums I only find one where the person gives their w/kg. In this post Dave Tallo rocks the course with a 5:24 bike split.  He had a good VI for a hilly course of 1.07 , executed like a ninja. His average watts for the bike were 188 , NP of 201 and w/kg a SOLID 4.0. With an FTP stated at 270 this gives us a weight of 150.

     

    OK so what can we do with one data point? This site has worked for many to estimate their times, for others if has been off. It has worked for me. http://www.triathloncalculator.com/

     

    Filling in the needed data and using Dave’s numbers of 150 for weight and 270 *1.05 = 283 for the 20 min watts ( uses the 1.05 factor on our 42 min FTP level to get back to a 20 min watts) . Then selecting the Canada course accent of 58 ft/ mile from the course table. Then hit calculate.

     

    You get a time bike time of 5:24. Wow today this matches what Dave did. OK so now the game is to lower the power level until the time increases to ~6 hr. keeping everything else the same and lowering the 20 min watts to 235 give us a 6:01 bike split. Taking the 1.05 factor into account and our FTP level is ~225w. So for Dave on his bike in his riding position those  watts should get him a ~6 hr bike split. Keeping his weight the same gives a 3.3 w/kg.

     

    My guess before I started this was a 3.3 – 3.5 number should get it done. 

     

    I hope this ESITMATE helps.

     

    The site that Dave mentions is also a cool site for what if’s. I find these calculators work best if you have some know watts and time numbers for you. Drop them in and tweak the setting to get the real results you achieved. Once you have normalized the calculator to you then change watts or weight to see what happens.

     

    Matt
  • Wow, Matt, awesome! Thanks for that. So clearly, Dave is a machine and we should all be learning what it takes to get that ninja execution down. I don't have many watts to throw around (or many kgs to do it with) so ninja-like execution will be an important to me. 3.3-3.5 is at least in the ballpark these days. At week 14 I busted through 3.0 to get to 3.1. We'll see what I can do in the last 6 weeks.

    I'm going to go over and play with those two calculators. Again, you all have been so helpful. I really appreciate being able to pick your brains!

    ---Ann.
  • I would personally love it if we as a team could get behind doing some analysis of the data which has been captured in the EN site on this subject. Those of us with power meters enter the results of our FTP tests into the data tool. We also have the results from 400+ folks doing IMs over several years. This is a serious amount of data from which I'm sure many interesting things could be interpolated.
  • Beverly Excellent Idea.

    Here is a straw man for what I think we need to capture. Lets agree as to what the fields need to be. We can set up a Google doc like we do for the challenges a get the data filled in over a few weeks.

     

    Suggested fields that would be across the spread sheet:

     

    A couple of clarifying comments on some of the fields. 

    Name would be optional.

    Bike rolling time – eliminate the times you are stopped for Bio breaks, special needs etcetera.

    Aero – how well did you stay down in the drops?

    Comment – special factors for the day. Very windy, HOT, major draft pacts impact smooth pacing …

     

    Endurance Nation Bike Power and Pace Data Base

     



     

     

    First Name


    Last name


    Event


    Year


    Bike Distance


    Age Group


    Bike Rolling Time

    FTP watts


    NP watts


    Avg Watts


    VI


    Bike Type Tri or Road


    Aero - Very/good/poor


    Gender

    Height


    Weight


    w/kg


    Comments

     

  • Excellent idea, Beverly! I like the proposed table, Matt. I might also add Place in Division for the bike segment to get some relative sense for how the bike went compared to others in your AG, and some note on how the run went (you may "win" the bike, but fall apart on the run).

    There is so much data from people on this site, I am amazed. Putting it to work like this would be a terrific resource!

    ---Ann.
  • Great thread with wonderful ideas. It would be at least interesting, perhaps instructive and better yet motivational to have access to an analysis of this sort data. I think adding in the run portion will add an important element to the interpretation of the bike data. I've done 1 IM at LP in 2009 and had a "safe" bike followed by a terrible run.
  • I found another thread from a couple of months back that brought forward this idea and it was suggested to cover all 3 events. I will take a shot at outlining the base spreadsheet this weekend and post it as a google doc. I will start a new thread for the review of it. Once we lock it down. I would like to twist RnP’s arm and get them to ask in their weekly update email to all of us for all members to go update the google doc. We can give it a couple of weeks to flesh out and then I know a set of players that can do some great analysis on the data and present back the findings.
  • kickin' it EN old school - see the original sheet here. 











     

  • Posted By Dave Tallo on 18 Feb 2011 01:58 PM

    kickin' it EN old school - see the original sheet here.  







    Dave - tried to access the sheet - said no access?  So requested access.



     





     

  • Sorry - I see on the google sheet that you have to request access from some doode named Patrick McCrann.



    Or that doode could be asked to make access public so the world can see the doc.



    But it's a spreadsheet that includes essentially what has been proposed, with ~30 IM entries, HIM entries, FTP, w/kg, bike split, run split, pace, etc. (Actually, it might be something that R and P would prefer to keep proprietary, so i should shut my mouth).

  • Here's a somewhat related thread:


     

    While W and W/kg are great, W/CdA is where it's at!  And as I alluded to in that thread, I think it's only going to get easier to figure that out moving forward.

     

    Craig "rode IMC last year with Dave, had a similar W/kg number, thought I was pretty aero but clearly had work to do, had a lot less experience and erred on the side of caution, was a little terrified descending Richter and Yellow Lake, did not dress for freezing rain, and rode a 6:21" Harris
  • Craig – Totally agree that W/CDA is the real indicator to how fast you will get around a course. I have see multiple approaches to estimate CDA ( roll down test for example). Do you know of an approach that we could adopt as best practice? For now we can put a place holder column in the sheet for data to be captured later.

     

    Coach P has opened up the sheet. Below is my reply to him.

     

    Coach P Nice sheet!!!

    Someone has done a most of the heavy lifting already!!

     

    I will come up with an TAB for swim and add a couple other items. Will make space for temperature date that we will have from the other project that will cover all the WTC events in North America. Will get the updated sheet through peer review and then let's get 500 - 2000 entries into this puppy! And see what other edges EN can have over the rest of the non Kool-Aid drinkers.

     

    If I don't have 20+ hours a week to train to be the fittest dude in my AG on race day, I sure can  train and race the smartest! That’s the power of EN. This will be another tool in are smarter tool chest. 

    Matt

  • Guys, this is fabulous! I look forward to seeing all this data. Matt, I'm with you on the "let's be the smartest folks out there". Huge advantage being able to draw on the EN team experience.

    Craig, your experience at IMC sounds bad - freezing rain and those descents?? Geez, Louise! I summer out there every year, I know that course, and coming off Yellow Lake in that crap makes me feel sick. I am also a chicken on the descents! Probably should work on that too -not just my w/kg! Ha!

    Thanks again for all the input. Really helpful stuff all!

    ---Ann.
  • @Matt: The short answer is Aerolab, the longer answer is "there's still no short answer". image  But that reminds me that I have an email sitting in my draft folder addressed to AndyF (the Golden Cheetah Aerolab guy) that I'll finally dust off and send - who knows, maybe it'll get easier soon rather than later.

    @Ann: Actually, in spite of that (or perhaps because of it), it was AWESOME!  I totally loved it.  And the *fast* guys (like Dave T and Chris W) actually had it way worse on the ride - I think they had snow!  As for the descents, I had actually always been a descent speed junkie (from my mountain bike days) but had a bit of an incident on my last long ride that made me somewhat tentative that day.  Just trying to point out that there are lots of variables that go into the ultimate time.

     

    Do work on your descents too.  But focus more on your aero! And execution. And *legally* drafting. image
  • This is all great. I think that all of this is good stuff, but a lot to track...I think the biggest missing variable here is how well you ride the watts you have earned the right to ride. Guaranteed there were other doodes like Dave out there at 4.0 who went 5:40....or more likely 5:15 and then blew up on the run. Work on your fitness now, hammer each and every OS workout, knowing that this is building fitness that will drive your whole season -- and even race day.

    Thanks Matt for driving this!
  • To expand on what Coach P says... Ability to generate power is just one of three or four things on the bike leg which are critical to performance in the IM. As Matt and others note, the ability to stay aero is paramount. Somebody with 3.3w per kg in a super aero position may go faster than someone with 4 w/kg sitting bolt upright. Someone riding steady (low VI in power lingo) will have a better run leg than someone blasting uphill and coasting down ... Sig. For the last 2/3 rds of the IM Canada course. And gear (helmet, wheels, slick kit, sleek bike) may compensate for lower power a bit.

    FWIW, in the days before I had a Power meter (01 & 02), I did that course in 5:45 with what I estimate was 3.3 or 3.4 w/kg. But I had not yet learned proper pacing EN style, and so walked 6-8 miles of the run, going about 5:15 instead of the 4:10 or so I was capable of.
  • I think that estimating bike finish time is interesting, but it may be a slippery slope. The main focus should be maximizing threshold power, race execution, aero dynamics, etc. These are all controllable. Every year the temperatures are different, it may or may not rain, winds are different, and these factors all change race time. I think the risk of focusing on time is that if something goes wrong and the expected finish time goes up by 10 minutes, people tend to throw race execution out the window trying to makeup "lost time". Focus on controllable stuff, let the time fall out.
  • Even if we tracked all of these things perfectly, it wouldn't give us as accurate a picture as you might hope for.

    Take a course like Placid, with the long downhill of 7 mi. If you ride that at goal watts, you could easily be doing 45+ mph, which some people are comfortable with, others are not. If you are only comfortable doing 30 mph, that is a difference of 7 minutes (across two laps).

    You might say "well, that should show up in the VI", but really, it might make a difference between 1.02 and 1.03, which could also be made up by a stop to pee, a few times sitting up to avoid drafting, or a couple of inadvertent surges on a hill (none of which would make a 7 minute difference in your time).

    So, maximizing your performance is a function of maximizing your watts, and then optimizing 'how you use them'. There are times where you can spend a few watts and make a big difference, and other times where it makes no difference (ie. Cresting a hill vs. At the bottom of a hill). Learning how to get the most speed out of your watts is a skill unto itself.
  • Howdy.  

    more data.

    Did Canada 2010.

    bike   5:52

    run   3:51.

    Wasn't doing power then.  Am now.    I believe I'm a stronger biker now.

    I weigh 185 lbs.

     

  • Posted By Patrick McCrann on 18 Feb 2011 08:43 PM

    This is all great. I think that all of this is good stuff, but a lot to track...I think the biggest missing variable here is how well you ride the watts you have earned the right to ride. Guaranteed there were other doodes like Dave out there at 4.0 who went 5:40....or more likely 5:15 and then blew up on the run. Work on your fitness now, hammer each and every OS workout, knowing that this is building fitness that will drive your whole season -- and even race day.



    Thanks Matt for driving this!

    Thanks for sending me the link to the chart.  You appear to be a perfect example of riding your watts well, and you ran really well to boot.  What did you do?  Stay aero, not stop to pee, etc?  Bike/wheel setup?  

  • Ok – I have a first pass at creating a race database spreadsheet. To keep the number of TABs to a manageable level we can have one for full IM’s and one for 1/2 IM’s. 

    I have attempted to capture key race performance statistics, significant gear, climate, input on execution, nutritional and mental aspects of the race. 

    There are 4 tabs to the sheet IM Race Summary, Swim, Bike, Run. Some of the common data when entered on the first sheet will populate the other sheets. To help with consistency of inputs and to reduce typing, many of the columns will have drop down lists to select your answer. For this review, the drop down lists are shown in each column. In the final edition they will be active drop down lists.

    Note that in some of the column headers there is a small red triangle. Hover over it to see added clarifying comments to aid drop down selection.

    Please give this draft a review. The first TAB is a sheet to capture suggestions for changes. Please make suggestions hear and do not modify the other sheets.

    I will give this a few days to capture feedback and then update the sheet.

    I am truly excited about what we may learn from this EN database with will quickly grow to over 1000 race results. Many things have come to mind for analysis. At the very least, we will see that people can get around the same bike course in the same time using 30% different levels of watts. WHY is that????

    The Google doc for IM results is here –  


    All feedback welcomed!

    Matt
  • @Matt - I thought it would be interesting to see how EN athletes compare to the rest of the AG field in terms of the delta between first half of run versus the second half of run. There's two area's of the run training and execution I'd love to see some qualitative analysis on: (1) How successful are EN athletes at adhering to the EN run pacing protocal, and (2) ENs 2.5Hr max IM run training versus other programs which still advocate much greater run volume than EN philosophy.

    I'm not sure we/you have such data to conclude anything meaningful on the above.
  • Posted By David Ambrose on 21 Feb 2011 09:19 PM

    @Matt - I thought it would be interesting to see how EN athletes compare to the rest of the AG field in terms of the delta between first half of run versus the second half of run. There's two area's of the run training and execution I'd love to see some qualitative analysis on: (1) How successful are EN athletes at adhering to the EN run pacing protocal, and (2) ENs 2.5Hr max IM run training versus other programs which still advocate much greater run volume than EN philosophy.



    I'm not sure we/you have such data to conclude anything meaningful on the above.





     

     

    Dave, I agree that would be nice info to have. I looked at should we break the bike and run into 1st and second ½ splits.  If you go into a typical “race tracker” results for a specific bib number you do see the splits. BUT I have not found this published for the complete race filed in one file. So in theory if we look up every individual racer in “race tracker” we could create a data set.   WoW that’s a lot of clicking.

    A call out to Craig Harris – Any place you have found the data?
  • @ Matt - Splits do exist in a single file, although I don't know if it is in a format which is accessible to data mining.

    On the standard IM results page, at the very bottom, splits for six IMs (AZ, CDA, FL, WI, Utah (the original, 2003), and LP) and six 70.3s are available in funky drop-down menus. They only go thru 2009, except WI, which goes thru 2008. And of course, there is no standard length for the run splits - just recording wherever the mat is placed, which varies from race to race.

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